A food security expert, Afioluwa Mogaji, has cautioned that the predicted flooding across 33 states could trigger a fresh rise in food prices and threaten food availability in the latter part of the year if preventive measures are not implemented immediately.
Mogaji, popularly known as AfricanFarmer Mogaji, said decisions taken by government authorities in the coming days would be crucial to protecting agricultural production and stabilising food supplies between October and December
Speaking in Lagos at the weekend, Mogaji stressed that decisions made by authorities in the coming days would play a crucial role in determining the stability of food supplies later in the year.
According to him, flood incidents have historically affected agricultural output by destroying cultivated land, forcing farming communities to relocate and interrupting the movement of food from farms to markets.
He noted that the period between October and December could be particularly challenging if preparations are delayed, adding that government intervention before the peak of the rainy season remains essential.
Mogaji, who is also the Chief Strategist and Chief Executive Officer of X Ray Farms Consulting, urged federal, state and local authorities to intensify efforts aimed at protecting vulnerable farming communities. He called for improved drainage systems, stronger flood management measures and targeted support for farmers in high-risk areas.
Drawing lessons from previous years, he observed that slow responses to flood forecasts often led to lower harvest volumes and sharp increases in food prices across the country.
The agricultural expert, however, pointed to the positive impact of timely support programmes in recent seasons. He said the distribution of fertilisers and other production inputs in 2024 helped boost output in 2025, demonstrating the value of coordinated agricultural policies.
To reduce the impact of the expected floods, he advocated continued support for farmers through extension services, mentorship initiatives and easier access to agricultural resources.
He also recommended the development of decentralised input supply and produce marketing systems, saying such measures would help farming activities continue even when climate related disruptions occur.
Mogaji expressed confidence that Nigeria could avoid major food shortages if stakeholders act quickly and work together to implement effective preventive measures ahead of the projected flooding.
